It's Lockurday for Dobs Nation
It’s the final day of the CFB regular season. It’s a day of degenerate betting on LA Tech @ Rice and parlaying all available service academies, because that’s the American thing to do.
Despite Dobs’ service to the world, Mrs. Dobs is currently yelling at him to fold laundry and asking what time REI opens, so we’ll have to make this quick.
Lock City:
Navy -13 @ Temple:
Classic example of all fight vs given up. Navy is going to score at will here and Temple has completely given up on the season. The last thing anyone wants to do when they’ve given up is play a service academy. Take the 1H as well. This is a blowout.
Under 73.5 WKU @ Marshall
1H Under 36.5 Western Kentucky @ Marshall
I could throw out a bunch of advanced metrics here, but it comes down to, this is a shit-ton of points and both offenses turn the ball over a lot. WKU on 11% of all drives and Marshall on 15% (115th in the nation). Marshall also actually has a decent defense, ranking right below teams like Rutgers and Oregon and right above Auburn and Michigan State. The unit actually sits 17th in the nation in TD %, allowing opponent touchdowns on only 20% of all drives. Granted WKU is a top 10 offense in the nation, but I see this game more in the 60s than the 70s.
Dobs is also on:
Army +3.5 @ Liberty: See above
Over 58 Tulane @ Memphis: Weather looks good and Tulane getting offense healthy at right time. The numbers don’t account for injuries and I expect this game well into the 60s.
Money Line Underdog Parlay
Army - Easy
Rice - Rice at home, getting points. It’s like the books want to lose money!
BC - BC getting healthy at the right time. Wake doesn’t want to go up there and play in freezing rain.
Florida State - Florida has given up, Florida State is rallying hard into the end of the season