Big Dobs needed a week off after a poor showing in week 3. But now we’re in the 4th Q. It’s the start of Dobstober, and Dobs Nation is about to kick off a huge Saturday slate. In fact, this momentum won’t slow as we approach Dobsvember and Dobsgiving…then it’s Dobber Claus season. Money making time my friends:
Lessons Need to be Learned:
Oklahoma has ZERO offense.
Kansas State OWNS Oklahoma and Lincoln Riley.
Kansas State matches up extremely well against an Oklahoma team that needed to get lucky to beat Tulane at home and Nebraska.
Oklahoma is in a look ahead spot with Texas up next weekend.
Kansas State +11 vs Oklahoma: There really is no need to overthink this. Yes, the line looks big. But let’s base our picks based off numbers and what is currently happening on the field. Right now, Kansas State hosting Oklahoma should be less than a touchdown, not +11 and +355 on the ML.
Arkansas is well coached and has an elite defense. This is a team that absolutely shut down Texas, who just dropped 70 on Texas Tech.
Georgia didn’t score an offensive touchdown against Clemson (dog shit team), and is being overrated based on pedigree and recency bias (dropped 62 on Vandy last weekend).
We have two teams that are far more evenly matched than the spread indicates with a low total. Dobs is on the road dogs all day, every day.
Arkansas +18 @ Georgia: There is a lot to like about Arkansas in this game. Georgia QB JT Daniels is hurt. Sam Pittman and Kirby Smart coached together and still have a great relationship. Smart, even if he could, will not run up the score on Pittman. Finally, these are two elite defenses with a total of 48.5, implying a total of somewhere around 33-15. I think a final score of 24-10 is the upside for Georgia and wouldn’t be surprised to see something within single digits. Dobs is also on the under 48.5.
TEMPLE SUCKS
Dobs Nation has killed it with Temple this year, especially on the Temple -6.5 @ Akron gift. This week we can safely fade Dr. Huxtable and the Temple Owls hosting Memphis.
Memphis -11 @ Temple. Temple is one of the worst teams in the nation. It’s not in UCONN territory, but it’s bottom 10. Memphis is a very solid team that is being undervalued due to its home loss to UTSA last weekend. Dobs Nation knows that UTSA team is legit, and we can somewhat excuse Memphis in a let down spot after beating Mississippi State outright the week before. This week the Tigers will travel to Philly to take on a team with the homefield advantage of a middle school ping pong team and the talent level of a bag of balloons. Memphis rolls. It will never be in doubt.
The Totals:
Alabama vs Ole Miss Under 79.5:
The line is absurd. In 2021 Bama is playing at a pace that ranks outside the top 100 teams in the nation. The Tide will put together methodical drives, eating clock and scoring touchdowns. Ole Miss is looking at an injury to its second leading WR and can’t be trusted to light up the scoreboard against Bama. This reminds me of the game a couple of years ago when everyone was expecting a shootout and Ole Miss had both DK Metkalf and AJ Brown at WR. The Rebels put up 7. I do think Ole Miss makes it closer than than that game was, but I don’t think Bama scores in the 40s, and I certainly don’t think Ole Miss does either.
Tulane @ ECU Over 64.5:
Two very good offenses, two defenses who crap their pants every time they fart. This is a much more likely game in the 80s than Bama vs Ole Miss.
Dobber Claus, out,